rational deterrence theory and comparative case studies pdf

Rational Deterrence Theory And Comparative Case Studies Pdf

File Name: rational deterrence theory and comparative case studies .zip
Size: 12866Kb
Published: 08.06.2021

Several recent books have argued that comparative case studies of crises demonstrate the failure of rational-deterrence theory; they have offered certain empirical generalizations as substitutes. This paper shows that such contentions are unwarranted. First, the empirical generalizations are impressive as historical insights, but they do not meet the standards for theory set out by the most sophisticated case-study analysts themselves. Second, the "tests" of rational deterrence used in the case studies violate standard principles of inference, and the ensuing procedures are so biased as to be useless. Rational deterrence, then, is a more successful theory than portrayed in this literature, and it remains the only intellectually powerful alternative available.

Sociology and nuclear weapons: A view from outside

The system can't perform the operation now. Try again later. Citations per year. Duplicate citations. The following articles are merged in Scholar. Their combined citations are counted only for the first article. Merged citations.

Deterrence theory refers broadly to a body of academic work that came to dominate the security studies literature in the United States and western Europe shortly after World War II. Rather, the literature is characterized by a number of distinct research thrusts that are oftentimes at odds with one another. It should be no surprise to learn, therefore, that the body of literature that delineates the field is at once large, intellectually diverse, conceptually vibrant, and politically relevant. Brodie was among the first to realize that the postwar international system was radically different than the multipolar European state system that Bismarck had fashioned. For one thing, the postwar system was decidedly bipolar. For another, it was well on its way to becoming nuclear.

Skip to search form Skip to main content You are currently offline. Some features of the site may not work correctly. DOI: Achen and D. Achen , D. Several recent books have argued that comparative case studies of crises demonstrate the failure of rational-deterrence theory; they have offered certain empirical generalizations as substitutes. This paper shows that such contentions are unwarranted.

Rational Deterrence Theory and Comparative Case Studies

It is one of five objectives that punishment is thought to achieve; the other four objectives are denunciation , incapacitation for the protection of society , retribution and rehabilitation. Criminal deterrence theory has two possible applications: the first is that punishments imposed on individual offenders will deter or prevent that particular offender from committing further crimes; the second is that, public knowledge that certain offences will be punished has a generalised deterrent effect which prevents others from committing crimes. Two different aspects of punishment may have an impact on deterrence. The first relates to the certainty of punishment ; by increasing the likelihood of apprehension and punishment, this may have a deterrent effect. The second relates to the severity of punishment ; how severe the punishment is for a particular crime may influence behavior if the potential offender concludes that the punishment is so severe, it is not worth the risk of getting caught. An underlying principle of deterrence is that it is utilitarian or forward-looking.

Not a MyNAP member yet? Register for a free account to start saving and receiving special member only perks. This chapter summarizes by identifying—with caveats—methods that have significant potential. Some general observations include the following:. The value of analysis depends primarily on the talent, education, and experience of the analysts and their work environments.


Several recent books have argued that comparative case studies of crises demonstrate the failure of rational-deterrence theory; they have.


Deterrence (penology)

Calling attention to the relatively few contributions made by sociologists to the study of nuclear issues, a political scientist suggests a number of areas and questions that sociology may be particularly well equipped to deal with. This is a preview of subscription content, access via your institution. Google Scholar. Bernstein, Elizabeth et al.

 Да, мистер Клушар, конечно, понимаю. Это цена, которую приходится платить за известность. - Действительно.

Deterrence (penology)

Стратмор шагнул вперед, нащупывая ногой место, где начинались ступеньки узенькой лестницы. Переложив берет-ту в левую руку, правой он взялся за перила. Он прекрасно знал, что левой рукой стрелял так же плохо, как и правой, к тому же правая рука была ему нужна, чтобы поддерживать равновесие. Грохнуться с этой лестницы означало до конца дней остаться калекой, а его представления о жизни на пенсии никак не увязывались с инвалидным креслом. Сьюзан, ослепленная темнотой шифровалки, спускалась, не отрывая руки от плеча Стратмора. Даже в полуметре от шефа она не видела очертаний его фигуры. Всякий раз, ступая на очередную ступеньку, она носком туфли первым делом старалась нащупать ее край.

На поиски вируса может уйти несколько дней. Придется проверить тысячи строк программы, чтобы обнаружить крохотную ошибку, - это все равно что найти единственную опечатку в толстенной энциклопедии. Сьюзан понимала, что ей ничего не остается, как запустить Следопыта повторно. На поиски вируса нужно время, которого нет ни у нее, ни у коммандера. Но, вглядываясь в строки программы и думая, какую ошибку она могла допустить, Сьюзан чувствовала, что тут что-то не. Она запускала Следопыта месяц назад, и никаких проблем не возникло. Могли сбой произойти внезапно, сам по .


Rational Deterrence Theory and Comparative Case Studies. STOR. Christopher H. Achen, Duncan Snidal. World Politics, Volume 41, Issue 2.


В нем заключено все, что ассоциируется с представлением о молодой католичке: чистота, невинность, природная красота. Чистота заключена в буквальном значении имени - Капля Росы. В ушах зазвучал голос старого канадца.

 - Он пожал плечами. - Ладно, - нахмурилась Сьюзан.  - Попробуем еще… Кухня. - Спальня, - без колебаний отозвался .

0 comments

Leave a comment

it’s easy to post a comment

You may use these HTML tags and attributes: <a href="" title=""> <abbr title=""> <acronym title=""> <b> <blockquote cite=""> <cite> <code> <del datetime=""> <em> <i> <q cite=""> <strike> <strong>